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[00:10.48]Welcome to Wednesday's edition of CNN STUDENT NEWS.
[00:13.58]I'm Carl Azuz at the CNN Center in Atlanta, Georgia.
[00:16.59]As promised, before yesterday's special edition of our show,
[00:20.07]we're going in-depth now on Super Tuesday.
[00:22.99]On March 1st, Americans in more than 10 states all went to the polls at once.
[00:28.65]They weren't electing a president.
[00:30.46]They were helping determine which one Democratic
[00:32.77]and which one Republican would ultimately appear on the presidential ballot this November.
[00:38.65]Results from these contests were still coming in when we put this show together.
[00:41.94]Teachers, for up to the moment info, please head to CNN.com.
[00:47.68]We're starting with an analysis of the Republican side.
[00:49.31]As of last night, there were five candidates running to become the Republican nominee.
[00:56.29]And going into Super Tuesday, businessman Donald Trump was the frontrunner.
[00:58.72]He'd won in every state by Iowa before yesterday's votes.
[01:04.29]Now, CNN's John King is doing a bit of math for us.
[01:05.53]He's looking at a few hypothetical outcomes from yesterday built around Donald Trump's lead so far.
[01:11.96](BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
[01:12.30]SUBTITLE: Super Tuesday scenarios for the Republicans.
[01:15.12]JOHN KING, CNN CHIEF NATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: So, heading into Super Tuesday,
[01:19.73]nobody has anywhere close to clinching the nomination when it comes to delegates.
[01:22.22]But momentum does start to matter and Trump is starting to pull away.
[01:26.89]It's early, you need,
[01:27.59]what, 1,237 delegates to clinch on the Republican side and nobody's even at a hundred.
[01:34.87]KING: If you run the board, even winning with 30 percent, 33 percent, 35 percent,
[01:39.99] if Trump runs the board on Super Tuesday --
[01:42.31]look at that --
[01:43.05]he gets close to 350.
[01:44.58]Again, you need 1,230-something.
[01:45.90]So, he'd be pulling away in a dramatic way you start to get that space.
[01:48.83]SUBTITLE: Does the math change if Ted Cruz wins Texas?
[01:55.73]KING: So, the challenge is you've got, not only win some states,
[01:57.03]but take some delegates away and that's where it hurts.
[02:00.22]Even if Ted Cruz could pick up Texas for example, say Trump comes in second,
[02:02.66]Rubio third and Kasich fourth, even there,
[02:04.22]Trump's still getting some delegates, if you're splitting it up.
[02:06.55]So, to stop Trump, you can't just win one state or two states.
[02:09.74]SUBTITLE: And what if the "establishment lane" can pick up a few wins?
[02:15.87]KING: Senator Rubio, like Senator Cruz, needs a win.
[02:18.23]You can't keep celebrating second place.
[02:19.04]Say Rubio pulls out in a state like Virginia.
[02:20.98]So, if we'll give that one to Rubio,
[02:22.37]say Trump comes in second, Cruz third, and Kasich fourth.
[02:25.02]Even then, even then, OK, so Cruz took Texas away.
[02:27.68]Rubio takes a state, maybe it's Virginia.
[02:29.95]Let's even say, OK, you know
[02:32.49], Governor Kasich have been camping out in Massachusetts.
[02:33.62]So, what if he can somehow make that happen there?
[02:36.21] Even then, a couple of guys take a little bit away from Trump,
[02:38.53]that's still a lot of Trump, and he's still way ahead.
[02:41.67]SUBTITLE: After Super Tuesday, the rules change.
[02:45.51]KING: Republicans, unlike the Democrats, are proportional early on and then later on,
[02:47.51]you get through the calendar, you have much more winner-take-all.
[02:50.60]And Trump, simply because of the Republican rules where the winner is treated more favorably,
[02:53.55]you start to pull away and conceivably, voila, that's a Trump convention right there.
[02:58.47](END VIDEOTAPE)
[02:58.87]AZUZ: An analysis of the Democrats is next.
[03:02.55]There were two of them competing on Super Tuesday.
[03:04.91]And former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was the frontrunner going into a vote.
[03:09.90]She'd won in every state but New Hampshire, before yesterday.
[03:12.99]As you saw on that last report, when we say a candidate wins a state,
[03:16.96] it means he or she will have the most delegates from that state,
[03:20.69] voting to give that winner the party nomination.
[03:23.14]Back to John King now for more hypothetical outcomes based on Hillary Clinton's lead so far.
[03:28.94](BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
[03:29.50]KING: The biggest storyline for the Democrats heading into Super Tuesday
[03:31.91]is that Hillary Clinton has stabilized, and the question now is, can Bernie Sanders find --
[03:37.70]pick the lock, if you will, and stop her?
[03:41.18]SUBTITLE: Super Tuesday scenarios for the Democrats.
[03:42.81]KING: So, Hillary Clinton goes in to Super Tuesday with momentum
[03:44.56] and that day gives her a huge opportunity
[03:46.27]to have a huge exclamation point behind her performance.
[03:48.84]And why is that? Super Tuesday is played out down here,
[03:51.44]eight states below that line I just drew vote on Super Tuesday.
[03:54.06]What makes them special --
[03:55.75]the deeper the shading, the higher the percentage of African-Americans in those areas.
[03:59.02]So, if you shrink this down and you look across Texas, in Virginia,
[04:03.05]some of these other states on Super Tuesday,
[04:05.30] the large African-American population,
[04:06.80] that has been the key to her success in Nevada, and then in South Carolina.
[04:10.18]If she continues her success there, she's not only racking up states,
[04:13.01]she's racking up a large number of delegates.
[04:15.64]If she can do that on Super Tuesday, she's proving to Senator Sanders,
[04:18.34]"You cannot beat me in the traditional Democratic base,"
[04:21.27]which the Clinton campaign hopes will get Senator Sanders to back off and say,
[04:24.37]"OK, she's likely to win the nomination.
[04:26.79]I'm more of a protest or a message candidate.
[04:28.93]Maybe I should tone down the rhetoric."
[04:30.58]If Clinton wins them, this is a by 60-40 margin, the scenario,
[04:38.11]if she wins them all, she starts to pull away in the delegate chase,
[04:41.84]because in addition to the 600 pledged delegates, she has 445 super delegates.
[04:44.41]So, she would be way out here.
[04:46.04]So, what are you looking for?
[04:47.26]Where does Bernie Sanders on Super Tuesday, at least slow her down.
[04:49.68]Well, he says he's going to win Minnesota,
[04:51.17] so let's give him that for the sake of argument.
[04:53.25]We assume he'll win his home state of Vermont.
[04:55.60]So, we'll give him that for the sake of argument.
[04:57.10]He says he thinks he can win in Oklahoma,
[04:59.02]he's been spending a lot of time there, let's do it for the sake of argument.
[05:02.00]And he also says out in Colorado, which is caucuses,
[05:04.64] that he thinks he can do well out there.
[05:06.77]So, let's make Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton come in second there.
[05:08.80]If he wins those four states on Super Tuesday,
[05:10.71]plus what he already has in New Hampshire, he would get closer.
[05:13.59]But remember, she has 445 super delegates on top of that.
[05:18.32]So, Sanders can slow Hillary Clinton's momentum with those four states,
[05:20.52]but it's not enough to sop here.
[05:22.04]SUBTITLE: How long could this race go?
[05:24.75]KING: As you look at this Super Tuesday,
[05:25.86] I've given Senator Sanders Oklahoma, Colorado, Minnesota and Vermont.
[05:27.97]Secretary Clinton wins the rest.
[05:31.27]She starts to pull away in the delegates.
[05:33.68]But because of the Democratic rules, if she wins them all 60/40,
[05:37.15] look what happens, we can get all the way through May,
[05:40.72]all filling in Clinton, this is the finish line way down there.
[05:42.81]So, she needs to win big and in some cases, even bigger than 60/40.
